Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.040999 3.601228 4.264650 5.116305 6.192314 7.522496 9.316472e+00
2024-10-20 2.283032 2.981855 3.921705 5.312822 7.381844 10.453237 1.558043e+01
2024-10-27 1.835018 2.537867 3.557850 5.208304 7.941520 12.552215 2.158760e+01
2024-11-03 1.659285 2.412638 3.582472 5.637152 9.408254 16.640690 3.346633e+01
2024-11-10 1.481402 2.239300 3.480594 5.810553 10.472244 20.478143 4.780585e+01
2024-11-17 1.360901 2.130301 3.453098 6.094973 11.838946 25.644033 7.040548e+01
2024-11-24 1.218185 1.958018 3.278107 6.045601 12.478410 29.469846 9.362472e+01
2024-12-01 1.118489 1.843935 3.185696 6.136315 13.473490 34.865911 1.305331e+02
2024-12-08 1.028779 1.734038 3.080427 6.170903 14.347186 40.535595 1.795811e+02
2024-12-15 0.975935 1.684591 3.084689 6.453945 16.013968 50.201164 2.755318e+02
2024-12-22 0.892982 1.566387 2.928272 6.314358 16.409027 55.537757 3.611913e+02
2024-12-29 0.833664 1.487370 2.842625 6.332754 17.317345 63.961534 5.116591e+02
2025-01-05 0.755445 1.371571 2.682178 6.184259 17.866298 72.759757 7.482200e+02
2025-01-12 0.709829 1.319198 2.661113 6.432864 20.085640 94.544717 1.476531e+03
2025-01-19 0.648123 1.223735 2.521664 6.300167 20.797090 109.164287 2.439338e+03
2025-01-26 0.629888 1.219111 2.598249 6.845895 24.785871 157.556374 7.466120e+03
2025-02-02 0.596992 1.177124 2.573926 7.067312 27.555030 206.379430 2.224691e+04
2025-02-09 0.573134 1.152281 2.588932 7.431398 31.459594 286.200391 1.173748e+05
2025-02-16 0.535153 1.089601 2.492077 7.368116 32.997638 345.735365 5.971711e+05
2025-02-23 0.507462 1.048098 2.446341 7.484412 35.826973 447.950287 2.213247e+07
2025-03-02 0.480065 1.004082 2.386280 7.528783 38.322882 569.766585 NaN
2025-03-09 0.464522 0.987436 2.402300 7.892482 43.654259 834.791585 NaN
2025-03-16 0.435224 0.932977 2.297805 7.712985 44.630576 987.766636 NaN